| Statistical Methods
Data for all
statistics were obtained from the Federal Aviation
Administration, the NTSB, and the U.S. Department of
Transportation. Since some airlines fly much more often
than others, a raw count of accidents, incidents, and near
mid-air collisions would not give an accurate picture of how
safe one airline is compared to another. Therefore all
statistics are reported as a number per 1,000,000
takeoffs. For example, if an airline flew
5,000,000 takeoffs during the year and had 10 accidents it
would be reported as having 2 accidents per 1,000,000
takeoffs. Again, if another airline flew only 500,000
takeoffs during the same year and had the same number of
accidents (10 accidents) they would be reported as having 20
accidents per 1,000,000 takeoffs. Clearly the second
airline is less safe than the first (even though they both had
the same number of accidents during the year).
The
limitation on the timeliness of the data provided in the
tables is due to the fact that it may take several months for
an aviation event to be recorded in the government's
databases. Reliable data will therefore be several
months old.
The
NTSB classifies an "Aircraft accident" as "an occurrence
associated with the operation of an aircraft which takes place
between the time any person boards the aircraft with the
intention of flight and all such persons have disembarked, and
in which any person suffers death or serious injury, or in
which the aircraft receives substantial damage." An
"Incident" is defined by the NTSB as "an occurrence other than
an accident, associated with the operation of an aircraft,
which affects or could affect the safety of operations."
A "Near
Mid-Air Collision" is defined as "an incident
associated with the operation of an aircraft in which a
possibility of a collision occurs as a result of proximity of
less than 500 feet to another aircraft, or a report is
received from a pilot or flight crew member stating that a
collision hazard existed between two or more
aircraft."
An important thing
to keep in mind when interpreting the statistics is that the
level of variation between airlines will generally increase as
the actual number of flights becomes lower. For example,
you will notice that the variation among airlines is greater
in the "One Year Average" table than it is in the "Five Year
Average" table. This is because each airline flew more
flights during five years than it did during any particular
year. During longer periods of time the numbers tend to
settle down to a more narrow range in values. For this
reason, it is best to not directly compare the numbers in the
Five Year table to the numbers in the One Year table; rather
you should compare airlines to each other within the
Five Year table and then compare those same airlines to each
other within the One Year table. This will give
you a more accurate picture of an airline's safety
history. It's also important to remember that the
accuracy of the data reported in these tables can only be as
good as the accuracy of the data reported by the Federal
government. If there are errors in the data provided by
the FAA, NTSB, or the U.S. Department of Transportation, those
errors will be reflected in our tables as well.
Reference in this web site
to any specific commercial products, processes, or services,
or the use of any trade, firm or corporation name, is for the
information of the public, and in no manner constitutes
endorsement or recommendation by
Airline-Safety-Records.com.
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